Transfer room
Morgan Rogers
Morgan Rogers
Aston VillaChelsea
60conf %
LinkedTalksBidAgreedMedicalDone

Arsenal's transfer plans analysed: Gunners miss out on Morgan Rogers in summer of evolution not revolution

The money read
Onside value76M
Reported fee€300M

Overpay vs our value

Sky Sports · +116 more sources
Your call

Onside rates this 60% to happen. Make your call — your record settles when the saga does.

Onside analysis

The Onside Brief

Linked117 sources · since 9 July

Onside has tracked this saga since 9 July, across 117 independent reports, led by Sky Sports. As of the latest report, this is an early link — no bid, talks or agreement has been reported yet.

The reported €300M is 295% above the Onside valuation of €76M — an aggressive premium our model treats with caution; either the price is inflated or the market knows something the model doesn't yet.

Written by the Onside data engine from tracked reporting, deal stage and the live valuation — updated as the saga moves.

Why we rate it

Onside Confidence 60%

Source credibility30% weight
75

Established reporter

Corroboration25% weight
100

117 independent sources

Deal stage20% weight
30

Early link — no concrete step reported

Valuation alignment15% weight
20

Fee is 293% above the Onside value

Contract status5% weight
50

Contract unknown

Freshness5% weight
25

Decays if uncorroborated

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