Transfer room
Gabriel Martinelli
Gabriel Martinelli
ArsenalAl-Hilal Saudi FC
66conf %
LinkedTalksBidAgreedMedicalDone

🚨🔵⚪️ Understand Gabriel Martinelli has given green light to Al Hilal move as contracts are being checked. Al Hilal and Arsenal finalising package over €65m as now all moving to the last stages of negotiations. Martinelli’s medical will be booked soon.

The money read
Onside value38M
Reported fee€65M

Above our value

Fabrizio Romano
Your call

Onside rates this 66% to happen. Make your call — your record settles when the saga does.

Onside analysis

The Onside Brief

Medical1 source · since 9 August

Onside has tracked this saga since 9 August, across a single report, led by Fabrizio Romano. As of the latest report, the player is at the medical stage — the final hurdle before an announcement.

The reported €65M runs 71% above the Onside valuation of €38M — a market premium, common for in-demand profiles, and not in itself a red flag.

Written by the Onside data engine from tracked reporting, deal stage and the live valuation — updated as the saga moves.

Why we rate it

Onside Confidence 66%

Source credibility30% weight
100

Tier-1 journalist

Corroboration25% weight
20

1 independent source

Deal stage20% weight
90

At the medical stage

Valuation alignment15% weight
55

Fee is 69% above the Onside value

Contract status5% weight
50

Contract unknown

Freshness5% weight
35

Decays if uncorroborated

The journey

How the saga unfolded

  1. Outlet·9 Aug
    Goal.com
  2. Tier-1·28 Aug
    Fabrizio Romano

Each report is a beat in the saga — newest at the bottom. Links open the original.

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