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Rafael Leão
Rafael Leão
AC Milandestination open
54conf %
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Transfer news LIVE: Aston Villa eye Endrick loan as Galatasaray shelve Rafael Leão plans

The money read
Onside value€47M
Reported fee€80M

Above our value

Transfermarkt · +7 more sources
Your call

Onside rates this 54% to happen. Make your call — your record settles when the saga does.

Onside analysis

The Onside Brief

Linked8 sources · since 5 June

Onside has tracked this saga since 5 June, across 8 independent reports, led by Transfermarkt. As of the latest report, this is an early link — no bid, talks or agreement has been reported yet.

The reported €80M runs 70% above the Onside valuation of €47M — a market premium, common for in-demand profiles, and not in itself a red flag.

Written by the Onside data engine from tracked reporting, deal stage and the live valuation — updated as the saga moves.

Why we rate it

Onside Confidence 54%

Source credibility30% weight
50

Outlet / regional

Corroboration25% weight
85

8 independent sources

Deal stage20% weight
30

Early link — no concrete step reported

Valuation alignment15% weight
55

Fee is 69% above the Onside value

Contract status5% weight
50

Contract unknown

Freshness5% weight
25

Decays if uncorroborated

The journey

How the saga unfolded

  1. Outlet·6 Jul
    Football London
  2. Outlet·6 Jul
    Read Man Utd
  3. Outlet·10 Jul
    talkSPORT
  4. Outlet·6 Aug
    Goal.com
  5. Outlet·6 Aug
    Goal.com
  6. Outlet·10 Aug
    Transfermarkt

Each report is a beat in the saga — newest at the bottom. Links open the original.

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