Transfer room
Julián Álvarez
Julián Álvarez
Atletico MadridArsenal
60conf %
LinkedTalksBidAgreedMedicalDone

Arsenal transfer news: Julian Alvarez would add 'magic' to Gunners' frontline says Gary Neville as he urges them to sign Atletico Madrid striker

The money read
Onside value116M
Reported fee€500M

Overpay vs our value

Sky Sports · +148 more sources
Your call

Onside rates this 60% to happen. Make your call — your record settles when the saga does.

Onside analysis

The Onside Brief

Linked149 sources · since 3 June

Onside has tracked this saga since 3 June, across 149 independent reports, led by Sky Sports. As of the latest report, this is an early link — no bid, talks or agreement has been reported yet.

The reported €500M is 331% above the Onside valuation of €116M — an aggressive premium our model treats with caution; either the price is inflated or the market knows something the model doesn't yet.

Written by the Onside data engine from tracked reporting, deal stage and the live valuation — updated as the saga moves.

Why we rate it

Onside Confidence 60%

Source credibility30% weight
75

Established reporter

Corroboration25% weight
100

149 independent sources

Deal stage20% weight
30

Early link — no concrete step reported

Valuation alignment15% weight
20

Fee is 332% above the Onside value

Contract status5% weight
50

Contract unknown

Freshness5% weight
25

Decays if uncorroborated

The journey

How the saga unfolded

  1. Established·22 Jun
    Guardian Football
  2. Outlet·21 Aug
    TNT Sports
  3. Outlet·21 Aug
    Daily Mirror
  4. Outlet·21 Aug
    Metro.co.uk
  5. Outlet·21 Aug
    AOL.co.uk
  6. Established·21 Aug
    Sky Sports

Each report is a beat in the saga — newest at the bottom. Links open the original.

Community

Discussion (1)

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j
juranperez84d
No call on record

I think he should leave, he had a talent for winning trophies and now he won't win anything there