Transfer room
Exequiel Palacios
Exequiel Palacios
Bayer LeverkusenIpswich
55conf %
LinkedTalksBidAgreedMedicalDone

🚨 EXCL: Ipswich Town close to agreement with Bayer Leverkusen for Exequiel Palacios. Latest bid €22.5m + €5m. Subject to clubs finalising deal 27yo #Bayer04 midfielder will sign 4y contract & become 1st World Cup winner to represent #ITFC 🚨

The money read
Onside value€7M
Reported fee€23M

Overpay vs our value

David Ornstein
Your call

Onside rates this 55% to happen. Make your call — your record settles when the saga does.

Onside analysis

The Onside Brief

Bid1 source · since 14 August

Onside has tracked this saga since 14 August, across a single report, led by David Ornstein. As of the latest report, a formal bid is on the table, which moves this beyond paper talk.

The reported €23M is 229% above the Onside valuation of €7M — an aggressive premium our model treats with caution; either the price is inflated or the market knows something the model doesn't yet.

Written by the Onside data engine from tracked reporting, deal stage and the live valuation — updated as the saga moves.

Why we rate it

Onside Confidence 55%

Source credibility30% weight
100

Tier-1 journalist

Corroboration25% weight
20

1 independent source

Deal stage20% weight
60

Formal bid reported

Valuation alignment15% weight
20

Fee is 221% above the Onside value

Contract status5% weight
50

Contract unknown

Freshness5% weight
50

Decays if uncorroborated

The journey

How the saga unfolded

  1. Outlet·14 Aug
    Get German Football News
  2. Tier-1·18 Aug
    Fabrizio Romano
  3. Tier-1·25 Aug
    David Ornstein

Each report is a beat in the saga — newest at the bottom. Links open the original.

Community

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