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Transfer room
Alejandro Garnacho
Alejandro Garnacho
ChelseaManchester United
63conf %
LinkedTalksBidAgreedMedicalDone

Alejandro Garnacho can leave Chelsea after Xabi Alonso confirms transfer talks

The money read
Onside value€7M
Reported fee€50M

Overpay vs our value

The Telegraph · +40 more sources
Your call

Onside rates this 63% to happen. Make your call — your record settles when the saga does.

Onside analysis

The Onside Brief

Talks41 sources · since 6 July

Onside has tracked this saga since 6 July, across 41 independent reports, led by The Telegraph. As of the latest report, the clubs are talking, but nothing binding has been reported.

The reported €50M is 614% above the Onside valuation of €7M — an aggressive premium our model treats with caution; either the price is inflated or the market knows something the model doesn't yet.

Written by the Onside data engine from tracked reporting, deal stage and the live valuation — updated as the saga moves.

Why we rate it

Onside Confidence 63%

Source credibility30% weight
75

Established reporter

Corroboration25% weight
100

41 independent sources

Deal stage20% weight
45

Clubs in talks

Valuation alignment15% weight
20

Fee is 604% above the Onside value

Contract status5% weight
50

Contract unknown

Freshness5% weight
25

Decays if uncorroborated

The journey

How the saga unfolded

  1. Established·11 Jul
    Sky Sports
  2. Established·13 Jul
    The Telegraph
  3. Outlet·21 Jul
    SPORTbible
  4. Outlet·22 Jul
    AOL.co.uk
  5. Outlet·24 Jul
    Manchester Evening News
  6. Outlet·24 Jul
    Manchester Evening News

Each report is a beat in the saga — newest at the bottom. Links open the original.

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